Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis (24), Band 24) okumak kayıt olmadan

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis (24), Band 24)

Ders Kitapları

International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.

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ERWIN N GRISWOLD 18,9 x 0,6 x 24,6 cm 29 Ekim 2011 Additional Contributors 18,9 x 0,2 x 24,6 cm 3 Ocak 2017 WADE H MCCREE 18,9 x 0,4 x 24,6 cm 28 Şubat 2018 15 x 0,5 x 22 cm 28 Ekim 2011 ROBERT H BORK Kolektif Mdpi AG 1 Ocak 2017 18,9 x 0,5 x 24,6 cm 30 Ekim 2011 18,9 x 0,3 x 24,6 cm

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